Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 1.051395 1.262398 1.527597 1.894552 2.404980 3.116650 4.238836e+00
2026-01-11 0.762462 0.995882 1.331256 1.879890 2.830311 4.602613 8.871572e+00
2026-01-18 0.604584 0.829910 1.181368 1.824152 3.134476 6.274712 1.838641e+01
2026-01-25 0.519761 0.741507 1.110787 1.852979 3.611058 9.113838 5.150138e+01
2026-02-01 0.466150 0.686983 1.076121 1.928208 4.268834 14.242893 3.248379e+02
2026-02-08 0.416427 0.627777 1.015476 1.920159 4.717337 20.658045 1.277578e+06
2026-02-15 0.372673 0.570963 0.945414 1.861594 4.971824 28.141963 NaN
2026-02-22 0.348463 0.544917 0.929997 1.933282 5.819114 51.709625 NaN
2026-03-01 0.323183 0.512950 0.895261 1.939950 6.442135 92.577686 NaN
2026-03-08 0.297838 0.477516 0.846366 1.888521 6.748051 153.790268 NaN
2026-03-15 0.278094 0.450540 0.811554 1.868477 7.249042 331.189507 NaN
2026-03-22 0.270562 0.446514 0.828020 2.020504 9.242729 12425.716260 NaN
2026-03-29 0.259057 0.433493 0.821931 2.100102 11.085563 NaN NaN
2026-04-05 0.244694 0.413099 0.794603 2.093271 12.239112 NaN NaN
2026-04-12 0.229562 0.389639 0.756102 2.030087 12.690593 NaN NaN
2026-04-19 0.219867 0.376750 0.742671 2.064160 14.674312 NaN NaN
2026-04-26 0.212967 0.369121 0.741688 2.152369 18.228720 NaN NaN
2026-05-03 0.203376 0.354733 0.720444 2.142942 20.225621 NaN NaN
2026-05-10 0.192799 0.337337 0.688768 2.074332 20.728777 NaN NaN
2026-05-17 0.187674 0.331609 0.688572 2.158342 26.264247 NaN NaN
2026-05-24 0.180773 0.321315 0.674081 2.166168 30.143381 NaN NaN
2026-05-31 0.172626 0.307618 0.648219 2.105860 31.173438 NaN NaN
2026-06-07 0.166025 0.297019 0.630196 2.082389 34.093682 NaN NaN